Friday, February 09, 2007

LIST: The 2006 Academy Awards

With only a little over 2 weeks to go until the big night, here are my picks for who will win and who should win. Let's see how close I come to predicting the winners.

BEST ACTOR - NOMINEES
Leonardo DiCaprio (Blood Diamond)
Ryan Gosling (Half Nelson)
Peter O'Toole (Venus)
Will Smith (The Pursuit of Happiness)
Forest Whitaker (The Last King of Scotland)

Who Will Win: Forest Whitaker. This is about as definite as Philip Seymour Hoffman last year as Truman Capote.
Who Should Win: Whitaker. I haven't even seen the film, but I figured he'd get it ever since I first saw him in the film's trailers.

BEST ACTRESS - NOMINEES
Penelope Cruz (Volver)
Judi Dench (Notes on a Scandal)
Helen Mirren (The Queen)
Meryl Streep (The Devil Wears Prada)
Kate Winslet (Little Children)

Who Will Win: Helen Mirren's got it for sure.
Who Should Win: I've only seen two of those films, but I'm happy with Mirren getting it. Her performance was certainly worth a nomination.

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR - NOMINEES
Alan Arkin (Little Miss Sunshine)
Jackie Earle Haley (Little Children)
Djimon Houson (Blood Diamond)
Eddie Murphy (Dreamgirls)
Mark Wahlberg (The Departed)

Who Will Win: Eddie Murphy got the Golden Globe, but Marky Mark's been getting a lot of praise. It's a toss-up, but I'll go ahead and say Eddie.
Who Should Win: This is a tough one. For once, I've seen all of the nominated films with the exception of Dreamgirls. Alan Arkin was great, but his performance didn't strike me as Oscar-worthy. Djimon Houson is always fantastic, and showed some incredible acting chops in Blood Diamond. I feel guilty saying Marky Mark, since although he was fantastic and gave his best performance yet, his character was rather minor and not very three-dimensional. I think I'll have to go with Haley on this one. Although his take as a pedophile isn't as powerful (in my opinion) as Kevin Bacon's in The Woodsman, it really did require some talent. He managed to be both monstrous and sympathetic at the same time, which is hard to do.

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS - NOMINEES
Adriana Barraza (Babel)
Cate Blanchett (Notes on a Scandal)
Abigail Breslin (Little Miss Sunshine)
Jennifer Hudson (Dreamgirls)
Rinko Kikuchi (Babel)

Who Will Win: No clue.
Who Should Win: No idea, since I've only seen one of the movies, and I don't think Breslin deserves a nomination. She was good, but not that good.

BEST ANIMATED FILM - NOMINEES
Cars
Happy Feet
Monster House

Who Will Win: Cars. No question.
Who Should Win: Cars. Although it's not Pixar's best flick, it's certainly better than all the other animated films that came out this year.

BEST ART DIRECTION - NOMINEES
Dreamgirls
The Good Shepherd
Pan's Labyrinth
Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest
The Prestige

Who Will Win: I don't really know what's specifically meant by "Art Direction", but based on my general understanding, I'm gonna go with Pan.
Who Should Win: Pan's Labyrinth. The sets and art design were fantastic.

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY - NOMINEES
The Black Dahlia
Children of Men
The Illusionist
Pan's Labyrinth
The Prestige

Who Will Win: Children of Men. The Academy can be retarded at times, but to give it to something else would be beyond stupidity.
Who Should Win: Children of Men. This was by far the best cinematography of the year. There are two shots that must have taken ages to plan out and execute, and they really help suck you into what might otherwise be fairly standard scenes.

BEST COSTUME DESIGN - NOMINEES
Curse of the Golden Flower
The Devil Wears Prada
Dreamgirls
Marie Antoinette
The Queen

Who Will Win: No clue. I'm gonna go with Dreamgirls, though, since it seems like people have a soft spot for it.
Who Should Win: Probably Curse of the Golden Flower, though I haven't seen it. Zhang Yimou films always have crazy costumes that work really well.

BEST DIRECTOR - NOMINEES
Alejandro González Iñárritu (Babel)
Martin Scorsese (The Departed)
Clint Eastwood (Letters From Iwo Jima)
Stephen Frears (The Queen)
Paul Greengrass (United 93)

Who Will Win: Scorsese. He's been nominated a billion times but never won. I think this is his year. The only person who has a chance to steal it from him (again) is Eastwood, because the Academy seems to really like him for some reason.
Who Should Win: Scorsese. He's deserved it before, and he deserves it again. Although I did like The Departed, I didn't like it as much as everyone else. However, you can't deny the strength of the directing. Fantastic.

BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE - NOMINEES
Deliver Us From Evil
An Inconvenient Truth
Iraq in Fragments
Jesus Camp
My Country, My Country

Who Will Win: This is a tough one. I'm gonna have to go with Deliver Us From Evil, simply because everything I've heard about it has been fantastic.
Who Should Win: A Lion in the House. It is quite simply the best documentary I've ever seen. I caught this 4-hour epic at Full Frame, and it had me in tears by the end. I don't know if it could have been nominated, but if it could have been, then it should have been. Of the nominees, the best of the ones I've seen is Jesus Camp. It's remarkably even-handed, and it manages a good equilibrium between seriousness and black comedy.

BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT SUBJECT - NOMINEES
The Blood of Yingzhou District
Recycled Life
Rehearsing A Dream
Two Hands

Who Will Win: No clue. I haven't heard of any of these.
Who Should Win: See above.

BEST EDITING - NOMINEES
Babel
Blood Diamond
Children of Men
The Departed
United 93

Who Will Win: Either The Departed or Babel. The Departed was great, but Babel manages multiple storylines, which Hollywood usually loves.
Who Should Win: This is a tough one. Given that I haven't seen Babel, I'm going to have to go with Children of Men. Wonderful pacing and ordering of shots.

BEST FOREIGN FILM - NOMINEES
After the Wedding
Days of Glory
The Lives of Others
Pan's Labyrinth
Water

Who Will Win: I've only seen Pan's Labyrinth, and the only film that has a chance of beating it is The Lives of Others, which is getting rave reviews. I'm gonna go with Pan.
Who Should Win: Pan. Although it was different from what I was expecting, and not the kind of movie I'll watch again any time soon, it was still good. It deserves to win for the creature design alone.

BEST MAKEUP - NOMINEES
Apocalypto
Click
Pan's Labyrinth

Who Will Win: Pan again. It's gonna get a lot of the technical stuff.
Who Should Win: Pan. Apocalypto had some good make-up, but not even close to the visual grandeur of that eye-hand guy. I don't even know how much of Pan was CG and how much was make-up, but screw it, it deserves it anyway.

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE - NOMINEES
Babel
The Good German
Notes on a Scandal
Pan's Labyrinth
The Queen

Who Will Win: Babel. It's the Brokeback Mountain of 2006, in that it's going to win things like Best Score in order to make up for the fact that it's not winning Best Picture despite the Golden Globe win.
Who Should Win: Clint Mansell and his score for The Fountain. The music for this film is so incredible that I had to have the soundtrack. Beautiful. Of the nominees, I have no idea.

BEST ORIGINAL SONG - NOMINEES
"I Need To Wake Up" (An Inconvenient Truth)
"Listen" (Dreamgirls)
"Love You I Do" (Dreamgirls)
"Our Town" (Cars)
"Patience" (Dreamgirls)

Who Will Win: One of the Dreamgirls songs. I haven't seen the movie, so I don't know which.
Who Should Win: Probably one of the Dreamgirls songs. At least they're important to the film (at least that's what I'm assuming since it's a musical), unlike most of the crap that gets nominated in this category. For the love of God, stop performing these nominations at the ceremony! It's pointless!

BEST ANIMATED SHORT FILM - NOMINEES
The Danish Poet
Lifted
The Little Matchgirl
Maestro
No Time For Nuts

Who Will Win: I don't know anything about any of these. No clue.
Who Should Win: See above.

BEST LIVE-ACTION SHORT FILM - NOMINEES
Binta And The Great Idea
Eramos Pocos
Helmer & Son
The Saviour
West Bank Story

Who Will Win: See the above category.
Who Should Win: See above.

BEST SOUND EDITING - NOMINEES
Apocalypto
Blood Diamond
Flags of Our Fathers
Letters From Iwo Jima
Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest

Who Will Win: One of the Eastwood war films. Probably Letters.
Who Should Win: The Fountain. But since that's not nominated, I'm gonna go ahead and guess Letters From Iwo Jima even though I haven't seen it. Sound is key to a good war film.

BEST SOUND MIXING - NOMINEES
Apocalypto
Blood Diamond
Dreamgirls
Flags of Our Fathers
Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest

Who Will Win: Probably Flags of Our Fathers, since again, it's a war film.
Who Should Win: Blood Diamond. Very good sound mix, from what little I remember.

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS - NOMINEES
Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest
Poseidon
Superman Returns

Who Will Win: Pirates, no question.
Who Should Win: Pirates. Although I thought the film was just so-so, Davey Jones is the best CG character since Gollum.

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY - NOMINEES
Borat: Cultural Learnings of America For Make Benefit Glorious Nation of Kazakhstan
Children of Men
The Departed
Little Children
Notes on a Scandal

Who Will Win: The Departed.
Who Should Win: Little Children. Amazing script.

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY - NOMINEES
Babel
Letters From Iwo Jima
Little Miss Sunshine
Pan's Labyrinth
The Queen

Who Will Win: I'm going to go with Babel. However, the Little Miss Sunshine script was also excellent, despite being more conventional than the other nominees. That has a chance of stealing it.
Who Should Win: The Fountain. There's not a lot of dialogue, but the dialogue that is there really serves a purpose. And the description has to have been fantastic. Of the nominees, I'm gonna go with Little Miss Sunshine, because it made me feel good.

BEST PICTURE - NOMINEES
Babel
The Departed
Letters From Iwo Jima
Little Miss Sunshine
The Queen

Who Will Win: Although Babel won the Golden Globe, I don't think it's widely considered by people to be the best film of the year. This is Scorsese's year. The Departed.
Who Should Win: The Fountain. Of the nominees, probably The Departed.

We'll see what happens...

2 Comments:

Blogger Karen said...

you are the fountain-biased.

suprisingly enough, it wasn't even nominated!

10:23 PM  
Blogger Andrew Johnson said...

It was probably the most divisive film of the year. Check out its rating on RottenTomatoes.

10:28 PM  

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